A few weeks ago, school districts across the state were required to send in their projected high school enrollment numbers for the next couple of years to the University Interscholastic League of Texas.  These numbers were used to come up with the cut off numbers for conferences 6A down to 1A. 

Yes, 6A...that's the new 5A, and it looks like the Lufkin Panthers will not be moving to that higher classification which paints some interesting scenarios which we'll get to in just a few minutes.

First, here are the released conference cutoff  numbers for 2014-2016:

Conference Cutoff Numbers


2014 - 2015 & 2015 - 2016


Conference Cutoffs

6A     2100 and above

5A     1060 – 2099

4A     465 –1059

3A     220 – 464

2A     105 – 219

1A     104.9 and below

1A – 4A Football Division I and Division II Numbers

1A Division I    55 – 104.9

1A Division II   54 and below

2A Division I    158 – 219

2A Division II   105 – 157

3A Division I    315 – 464

3A Division II   220 – 314

4A Division I    686 – 1059

4A Division II   465 – 685


Lufkin's reported enrollment for the previous two years was just a tad over 2100, but that number has dropped.  Longview was near 2170, but they also reported fewer students for the upcoming years.

Now, keep in mind, these are only the conference cut off numbers, the announcement of the district realignments won't come until February from the UIL.  However, there is some speculation that Lufkin, Longview, Nacogdoches, Jacksonville, John Tyler, Marshall, Hallsville, and/or Whitehouse could in shape or form be competing in the same district.  Once again, that's just speculation.  We won't know anything for certain until February.

We don't have the numbers that were submitted for the upcoming 2 years, but you can click here to see the enrollment numbers from area schools from the previous two years.