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The Odds of Winning on a Texas Lottery Scratch Off

The odds of winning any prize in any Texas Lottery scratch-off game hovers around 1 in 4. You have about a 25% chance of winning a cash prize every time you buy a game ticket.

Texas Lottery
Texas Lottery
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Usually, it's a small payout that covers the cost of the ticket, or maybe a few dollars more. It's those small successes that keep us coming back for more, even though we lose about 75% of the time.

What About the Odds of Winning a Scratch-Off Jackpot?

Let there be no misunderstanding: your odds of winning a top scratch-off game jackpot are laughably slim. We're talking around 1 in 2 million, in some cases. But, if you knew that the odds have increased for some games or decreased in others, wouldn't you want to know?

Giorgio Trovato via Unsplash
Giorgio Trovato via Unsplash
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I mean, the chances of winning big would still be as slim as not seeing drama on social media, but why not tilt the odds slightly in your favor? Big winners happen every week.

How To Use Texas Lottery Data To Your Favor

Using the data available on the Texas Lottery website, it can be approximated how many tickets for each game are still in circulation. Take the odds at the beginning of the game, throw in how many jackpots have been won, and you can use some quick math to figure out whether winning a game's top prizes have increased or decreased.

Sumudu Mohottige via Unsplash
Sumudu Mohottige via Unsplash
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Using that Texas Lottery scratch-off data and a percentage increase calculator, (hopefully correctly), here are 5 games you should consider buying, as well as 5 you should avoid.

The odds of winning jackpots for some games have increased nearly 100%, while other games have a ZERO PERCENT chance of winning.

5 Texas Lottery Scratch-Off Games You Should Buy, and 5 To Avoid (as of March 14, 2025)

We've done the math based on the Texas Lottery website. Here are 5 scratch-off games whose odds of winning the top jackpots have increased substantially and 5 whose odds have worsened.

Gallery Credit: Danny Merrell

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Summertime will be here before we know it along with hurricane season. (Original gallery created by Michael Gibson of KNUE in Tyler, Texas. Any unauthorized reuse of this gallery without the expressed written consent of the author is strictly prohibited.)

Gallery Credit: unsplash.com, Michael Gibson - 101.5 KNUE

 

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